Institute of Information Theory and Automation

Publication details

Tail Behavior of the Central European Stock Markets during the Financial Crisis

Journal Article

Baruník Jozef, Vácha Lukáš, Vošvrda Miloslav

serial: IES Working Papers vol.2010, 4 (2010), p. 1-17

research: CEZ:AV0Z10750506

project(s): GP402/08/P207, GA ČR, GD402/09/H045, GA ČR, GA402/09/0965, GA ČR

keywords: financial crisis, tail behavior, stock markets, stable probability distribution

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abstract (eng):

In the paper we research statistical properties of the Central European stock markets. We focus mainly on the tail behavior of the Czech, Polish, and Hungarian stock markets and compare them to the benchmark U.S. and German stock markets. We fit the data of the 4-year period from March 2005 to March 2009 with the stable probability distribution model and discuss its tail behavior. As the estimation of the tail exponent is very sensitive to the size of the data set, the estimates can be misleading for short daily samples. Thus, we employ high-frequency 1-minute data, which proves to be a good choice as it reveals interesting findings about the distributional properties. Furthermore, we study the difference in stock market behavior before and during the financial crisis.


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Last modification: 21.12.2012
Institute of Information Theory and Automation