Institute of Information Theory and Automation

Pro všechny

Bayesian Dynamic Decision Making

Dynamic decision making (DM) maps knowledge into DM strategy, which ensures reaching DM aims under given constraints. Under general conditions, Bayesian DM, minimizing expected loss over admissible strategies, has to be used. Existing limitations of the paradigm impede its applicability to complex DM as:

  1. Complexity of the information processing often crosses resources accessible.
  2. Quantification of domain-specific knowledge, aims and constraints is weakly supported. It concerns mapping of domain-specific elements on probabilistic distributions (pd).
  3. Methodology of the DM with multiple aims is incomplete.

The research aims to overcome these problems. It relies on distributed DM and fully probabilistic design (FPD) of strategies. The goal is to build a firm theoretical background of FPD of distributed DM strategies. Besides, it will enrich available results and unify them into internally consistent theory suitable for a flat cooperation structure.

This aim implies the main tasks:

  1. Inspection of conditions leading to FPD
  2. Extension of FPD to design with sets of ideal pds
  3. Design of computerized conversion of knowledge and aims into environment-describing and ideal pds
  4. Elaboration of theoretical framework for selecting cooperation tools

 

 

Active projects

Former projects

Plan of seminars 2015

2.2.Miroslav Kárný
2.3 
6.4. Vladimíra Sečkárová
4.5. Václav Šmídl
1.6.Jan Šindelář
7.9.Ondřej Tichý
5.10.Pavel Hrabák<

Application-oriented projects

In general, research activities in the department are always motivated by real-world application. Projects listed on this page are those that goes beyonds academic considerations and actually implemented the developed algorithms in real environment. List of theoretical projects is available here

List of former application-oriented projects

Clusters of Research Oriented Activities

Bayesian Dynamic Decision Making

Dynamic decision making (DM) maps knowledge into DM strategy, which ensures reaching DM aims.

Financial Econometrics

Field characteristic

A research in the financial econometrics is on the cutting edge of the current research. Financial markets have very complex nature and cannot be easily understood using simple, tractable models. Thus the financial markets are investigated from the various perspectives.

Stochastic optimization

Stochastic Programming

Research in this field has more than forty-year tradition in our department. Stochastic programming problems are studied both theoretically and with respect to practical applications. Presently, the group focuses on the following areas:

Fuzzy approach and uncertainty processing

Field characteristic

Theory of copulass and aggregation operators

Macrodynamics

Field characteristic

Macroeconomics

Our macroeconomics research has focused on an extensive evaluation of the nature of financial markets and its interconnections with macroeconomic dynamics and stability. Most of our early research investigated the efficiency of financial markets. This analysis is far from simple. It needs both an appropriate definition of market efficiency and appropriate statistical tools to address this question.

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Institute of Information Theory and Automation