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Bibliography

Conference Paper (international conference)

A Competing Risks Model for the Time to First Goal

Volf Petr

: Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Mathematics in Sport, p. 214-219 , Eds: Kay Anthony

: International Conference on Mathematics in Sport /5./, (Loughborough, GB, 29.06.2015-01.07.2015)

: GA13-14445S, GA ČR

: sports statistics, competing risks, copula

: http://library.utia.cas.cz/separaty/2015/SI/volf-0445283.pdf

(eng): The time to the first goal in a football match is analyzed in the framework of competing risks scheme. Potential random times to the first goals scored by both teams are modelled by exponential distributions with parameters depending on attack and defence strengths of teams. Mutual dependence of these two times is described with the aid of a conveniently chosen copula ensuring the model identifiability. As a real example the data from the 2014 World Championship are analyzed. It is shown that the correlation is, as a rule, negative, and is absolutely larger in more competitive matches.

: BB

2019-01-07 08:39