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Research Report

Model-M: An agent-based epidemic model of a middle-sized municipality

Berec Luděk, Diviák T., Kuběna Aleš Antonín, Levínský René, Neruda Roman, Suchopárová Gabriela, Šlerka J., Šmíd Martin, Trnka Jan, Tuček V., Vidnerová Petra, Zajíček Milan, Zapletal František

: ( 2022)

: Research Report 2021.05.13.21257139

: TL04000282, GA TA ČR

: 10.1101/2021.05.13.21257139

: http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.13.21257139

(eng): This report presents a technical description of our agent-based epidemic model of a particular middle-sized municipality. We have developed a realistic model with 56 thousand inhabitants and 2.7 millions of social contacts. These form a multi-layer social network that serves as a base of our epidemic simulation. The disease is modeled by our extended SEIR model with parameters fitted to real epidemics data for Czech Republic. The model is able to simulate a whole range of non-pharmaceutical interventions on individual level, such as protective measures and physical distancing, testing, contact tracing, isolation and quarantine. The effect of government-issued measures such as contact restrictions in different environments (schools, restaurants, vendors, etc.) can also be simulated.